2013年12月3日 星期二

再看2014年A股 by 石鏡泉

  昨文「觀2014年A股行情」談到個合理PE問題,上周六晚證監發文,為IPO一錘定音,決定IPO會明年重啟,昨日A股應聲跌,創業板更逾8%,為歷史以來最大跌幅,為甚麼IPO會帶來這麼大的震動?對明年A股市場影響若何? 

 

  中國新聞網有報道:證監會有關部門負責人表示,從實際情況看,恢復新股發行並不決定股市中長期走勢,股市運行主要由當時經濟基本面和宏觀政策所決定。

 

 

  上述負責人稱,股市設立以來,已經歷八次新股發行暫停、七次恢復發行。前七次恢復發行後的首個交易日,上證綜指五次下跌、兩次上漲。

 

  這位負責人說,發行節奏的市場化,並不意味著目前已通過發審會的80餘家企業馬上就全部發行完畢。通過發審會審核的企業需要按照新的改革意見對申報文件作出必要的修改,並履行相關程序,2014年1月31日前完不成上述工作的過會企業還需要補充最新財務數據,提交2013年審計報告。企業和承銷機構也需要尋找合適的發行時間窗口。部分通過發審會的企業由於中介機構正被立案調查,無法取得核准文件。總的來看,已過會企業完成發行需要一定時間。

 

  負責人提醒說,投資者作為市場重要的參與方,應當充分發揮買方約束,認真閱讀發行人公開披露的信息,自主判斷企業的投資價值,審慎做出投資決策。目前,市場也有觀點認為,經過長期停發新股及財務專項檢查,目前留下的在審企業都是好企業,大量資金等待炒作新股。需要提醒投資者關注的是,按照以信息披露為中心的要求,今後監管部門不對企業的盈利能力和投資價值作判斷,本次改革針對新股炒作也制定了針對性措施,請廣大投資者認真研判投資風險,審慎做出投資決策,不要盲目參與新股炒作。

 

IPO重啟料成炒作動力

 

  總括言:(1)明年一月時可能仍未有新股上市,但市場是炒預期的,到新股按新政上市後,待看市場的消化力,才可確定影響若何。(2)IPO的新政是:證監不對企業的盈利能力和投資價值作判斷,要廣大投資者認真研判投資風險。此即是要大家回到:西瓜共蟹,唔識莫買,不要見到鐳射標籤就認為,必屬佳品。

 

  當群雄並起或群魔亂舞之時要Buyers Beware,的確不易,何者為「雄」,何者為「魔」?部分靠證監會,來做降魔者,中國新聞網謂:針對新股發行「三高」、「圈錢」問題,證監會有關部門負責人表示,本次改革後,將不再執行「25%規則」,但並不意味著要放鬆對新股高定價和「圈錢」的約束。本次改革將主要從三方面採取針對性措施。

 

監管改善助A股向好

 

  一是平衡供需,抑制高定價。更大程度發揮市場調節作用,新股發行快慢、多少更多地由市場決定,使發行價格更加真實地反映市場供求關係。推動老股東轉讓股票,增加單隻新股在上市首日的供應量。老股東轉讓股票的多少本身也反映其對公司價值的判斷,老股東賣的多,買方自然不敢報高價。

 

提高招股定價透明度

 

  二是強化約束,促進合理定價。首先,針對發行人,把減持行為與發行價掛鈎,限制發行人定高價。如果定價過高,上市後一段時間內股價跌破發行價,發行人控股股東等責任主體需要按承諾自動延長持股鎖定期。

 

  其次,採取措施約束網下配售的機構投資者報高價。確定發行價時,要求先剔除報價最高的10%的申購量。報價最高的部分將不得影響發行定價,報價最高者也不能獲得配售,防止「人情報價」或盲目報高價。另外,提高網下配售的比例,限制網下配售的投資者家數,增加單個網下投資者的配售數量,加大報價申購的風險。這些措施都將有利於促進網下投資者審慎報價。

 

  再次,針對主承銷商,引入自主配售機制。主承銷商可以將網下發行的股票按事先公布原則配售給自己的客戶。主承銷商為發展長期客戶,需要合理定價平衡買方利益。這有利於防止主承銷商與發行人共謀定高價。

 

  最後,提高招股、定價、配售各環節信息的透明度,供網上投資者申購決策時參考,也可以通過強化社會監督防範定價配售環節的「暗箱操作」。

 

  三是加強監管,威懾違規定價。監管部門將與自律組織開展協作,加強對報價、定價過程的監管,打擊高報不買、高報少買、串通報價等行為。同時,採取措施打擊新股炒作行為,定價過高則上市後跌破發行價的風險也會更高。

 

  這位負責人說,防範「三高」發行和「圈錢」,還需要投資者擦亮眼睛,認真研讀發行人信息披露文件,做出理性投資決策,利用手中的投資權對發行人進行約束。

 

  光監管仍是不夠的,還要有罰,這包括:強化信息披露違法行為的賠償責任。因信息披露違法行為給投資者造成損失的,發行人及其控股股東、相關中介機構等責任主體必須依法賠償投資者損失;信息披露嚴重違法,影響對發行人上市條件的判斷的,將要求發行人回購已經發行的新股,要求控股股東購回已經轉讓的限售股等等。

 

  看完上述,一句講晒,你會將資金投入新股及A股市場嗎?會的話,A股立升,不會的話,A股在2014年初先反覆,待證監按信息披露法拉了幾隻魔,要賠償給受害的投資者時,那時買股的意願才會熱熾上來,那時A股就可以節節上升了,筆者對此是樂寄希望的。

 

*編者按:本文只供參考之用,並不構成要約、招攬或邀請、誘使、任何不論種類或形式之申述或訂立任何建議及推薦,讀者務請運用個人獨立思考能力自行作出投資決定,如因相關建議招致損失,概與《經濟通通訊社》、《晴報》、編者及作者無涉。


 
轉載自晴報

 



Source: http://lifestyle.etnet.com.hk/column/index.php/wealth/arthurshek/21542

As Hospital Prices Soar, a Single Stitch Tops $500 - NYTimes.com by Elizabeth Rosenthal

SAN FRANCISCO — With blood oozing from deep lacerations, the two patients arrived at California Pacific Medical Center’s tidy emergency room. Deepika Singh, 26, had gashed her knee at a backyard barbecue. Orla Roche, a rambunctious toddler on vacation with her family, had tumbled from a couch, splitting open her forehead on a table.

On a quiet Saturday in May, nurses in blue scrubs quickly ushered the two patients into treatment rooms. The wounds were cleaned, numbed and mended in under an hour. “It was great — they had good DVDs, the staff couldn’t have been nicer,” said Emer Duffy, Orla’s mother.

Then the bills arrived. Ms. Singh’s three stitches cost $2,229.11. Orla’s forehead was sealed with a dab of skin glue for $1,696. “When I first saw the charge, I said, ‘What could possibly have cost that much?’ ” recalled Ms. Singh. “They billed for everything, every pill.”

In a medical system notorious for opaque finances and inflated bills, nothing is more convoluted than hospital pricing, economists say. Hospital charges represent about a third of the $2.7 trillion annual United States health care bill, the biggest single segment, according to government statistics, and are the largest driver of medical inflation, a new study in The Journal of the American Medical Association found.

A day spent as an inpatient at an American hospital costs on average more than $4,000, five times the charge in many other developed countries, according to the International Federation of Health Plans, a global network of health insurance industries. The most expensive hospitals charge more than $12,500 a day. And at many of them, including California Pacific Medical Center, emergency rooms are profit centers. That is why one of the simplest and oldest medical procedures — closing a wound with a needle and thread — typically leads to bills of at least $1,500 and often much more.

At Lenox Hill Hospital in New York City, Daniel Diaz, 29, a public relations executive, was billed $3,355.96 for five stitches on his finger after cutting himself while peeling an avocado. At a hospital in Jacksonville, Fla., Arch Roberts Jr., 56, a former government employee, was charged more than $2,000 for three stitches after being bitten by a dog. At Mercy Hospital in Port Huron, Mich., Chelsea Manning, 22, a student, received bills for close to $3,000 for six stitches after she tripped running up a path. Insurers and patients negotiated lower prices, but those charges were a starting point.

The main reason for high hospital costs in the United States, economists say, is fiscal, not medical: Hospitals are the most powerful players in a health care system that has little or no price regulation in the private market.

Rising costs of drugs, medical equipment and other services, and fees from layers of middlemen, play a significant role in escalating hospital bills, of course. But just as important is that mergers and consolidation have resulted in a couple of hospital chains — like Partners in Boston, or Banner in Phoenix — dominating many parts of the country, allowing them to command high prices from insurers and employers.

Sutter Health, California Pacific Medical Center’s parent company, operates more than two dozen community hospitals in Northern California, almost all in middle-class or high-income neighborhoods. Its clout has helped California Pacific Medical Center, the state’s largest private nonprofit hospital, also earn the highest net income in California. Prices for many of the procedures at the San Francisco hospital are among the top 20 percent in the country, according to a New York Times analysis of data released by the federal government.

“Sutter is a leader — a pioneer — in figuring out how to amass market power to raise prices and decrease competition,” said Glenn Melnick, a professor of health economics at the University of Southern California. “How do hospitals set prices? They set prices to maximize revenue, and they raise prices as much as they can — all the research supports that.”

In other countries, the price of a day in the hospital often includes many basic services. Not here. The “chargemaster,” the price list created by each hospital, typically has more than ten thousand entries, and almost nothing — even an aspirin, a bag of IV fluid, or a visit from a physical therapist to help a patient get out of bed — is free. Those lists are usually secret, but California requires them to be filed with health regulators and disclosed.

California Pacific Medical Center’s 400-page chargemaster for this year contains some eye-popping figures: from $32,901 for an X-ray study of the heart’s arteries to $25,646.88 for gall bladder removal (doctor’s fees not included) to $5,510 for a simple vaginal delivery (not including $731 for each hour of labor, or $137 for each bag of IV fluid). Even basic supplies or services carry huge markups: $20 for a codeine pill (50 cents at Rite-Aid or Walgreens), $543 for a breast-pump kit ($25 online), $4,495 for a CT scan of the abdomen (about $400 at an outpatient facility nearby). Plenty of other hospitals set similar prices.

Dr. Warren Browner, the chief executive officer of California Pacific Medical Center, said that there were good reasons that hospitals charged what they did: They must have highly trained professionals available 24 hours a day, seven days a week. They must constantly upgrade to the latest equipment and building standards to meet patients’ expectations and state mandates. They charge paying or well-insured patients more to compensate for others they treat at a loss.

“Hospital care is extremely expensive to produce and to have available for everyone in the community,” he said, noting that hospitals needed to have a neurosurgeon on call in case a patient turned up with a blood clot on the brain. “We take every penny of the revenue we earn and use it to build new and better facilities for everyone in the city.”

Some health economists say that even though most hospitals are nonprofit, they nonetheless are often flush with revenue and guilty of unnecessary spending.

“Hospitals are self-fueling, ever-expanding machines,” said James Robinson, an economist and professor of health policy at the University of California, Berkeley. “There is an infinite amount of stuff to buy — amenities, machines, new wings, higher salaries, more nurses.”

“But,” he asked, “to deliver good health care, what do you need?”

Few Constraints

There is little science to how hospitals determine the prices they print on hospital bills.

“Chargemaster prices are basically arbitrary, not connected to underlying costs or market prices,” said Professor Melnick, the economist. Hospitals “can set them at any level they want. There are no market constraints.”

Prices for any item or service are set by each hospital and move up and down yearly, and show extraordinary variability, health economists say. The codeine that costs $20 and the bag of IV fluid that costs $137 at California Pacific are charged at $1 and $16 at the University of California San Francisco Medical Center, across town. But U.C.S.F. Medical Center charges $1,600 for an amniocentesis, which costs $687 at California Pacific.

After each hospital stay or visit, computer programs and human coders and billers use the chargemaster price list to translate the services rendered into a price. Sutter employs more than 1,300 people at a special center in Roseville, Calif., to perform this and other administrative tasks for its hospitals. Emergency room visits typically include separate charges for doctor’s services and for supplies, as well as a “facility fee” — the charge for walking in the door.

Orla Roche’s bill, for example, included $529 for “supplies and devices,” though her mother is perplexed about what those are: Orla left the emergency room with gauze wrapped round her head (under $1 at Internet supply stores), festooned with a pink cartoon sticker. According to the chargemaster price list for California Pacific, a vial of skin glue is billed at $181, a tube of antibiotic cream at $125.84 and a vial of local anesthetic at $79.73. These items can be purchased for $15.99, $36.99 and $5 on the Internet, though hospitals — which buy wholesale and in bulk — pay far less.

The bill also included $1,167 for the facility fee, which was classified at Level 3 — the middle of the scale, though Orla’s treatment was one of the most simple emergency room interventions. At Lenox Hill in New York, Daniel Diaz’s unusually detailed bill for his stitches included $1,828 for emergency room services, $628 for repairing the wound, $571.83 for “application of a finger splint,” $97.10 for a tetanus shot, and $311 for someone to give the injection. At Sparrow Hospital in Lansing, Mich., 2-year-old Ben Bellar’s bill for six stitches, more than $2,000, included $145.20 for “pharmacy” — a spoonful of ibuprofen and local anesthetic, his mother said.

Economists note that hospitals can bill for emergency room care with relative impunity, since injured patients generally rush to the nearest treatment facility. But worried about high prices, even the sick sometimes shop around. When Jamie Burke, 33, a graduate student in North Carolina, came to after she was knocked out during a soccer game in April, she started searching on her smartphone for an in-network hospital as a friend drove.

“It was crazy,” she said, “but luckily I wasn’t unconscious, so I could figure it out.”

She is glad she did: Though the hospital billed $5,039, her insurer’s in-network contracted rate was about $2,700. With copays and coinsurance, she owed $600 for the visit.

The uninsured are particularly vulnerable to high prices since they have no one to argue on their behalf. When Arch Roberts Jr. got his bill of more than $2,000 for stitches, he explained that he was uninsured and his business had failed during the housing crisis, so he could not afford the fee. The hospital offered him a “charity care discount” — a price that was still out of range. “I don’t have $800 to pay them any more than I have $2,000” for three stitches, he said, noting that the hospital has been “relentless” in its collection efforts.

Paths to Profit

Once perennial money pits, emergency rooms have become big moneymakers for most hospitals in the last decade, experts say, as they raised their fees and “managed” their patient mix. California Pacific Medical Center has nearly doubled its emergency room fees since 2005, its chargemaster price lists show.

California Pacific’s emergency room is not a trauma center; poor or uninsured trauma patients who require lengthy inpatient stays can strain a hospital budget. And insurers allow emergency rooms to bill more than urgent-care centers for simple procedures like stitches or X-raying a sprained ankle, making such procedures profitable. Indeed, the financial prospects are so appealing that doctors’ groups in Texas are opening free-standing “emergency rooms” that are not connected to hospitals.

“Hospitals see where they’re making money and try to do more of that,” said Dr. David Gifford, a former health commissioner of Rhode Island, who has studied how labs price their tests. He said that laboratory tests and X-rays are priced high and are profitable, though there is no difference in quality from national commercial labs that charge far less. A blood count and blood electrolyte test — ordered every day for most inpatients and often in the emergency room — are priced at $259.06 and $293.25 on California Pacific Medical Center’s chargemaster price list. Insurers often pay outside labs less than $10 for the services.

And, like any business, many hospitals try to do fewer services that are not well paid. In 2012, over loud patient protests, California Pacific Medical Center outsourced its kidney dialysis unit to DaVita Health Care Partners, a commercial company, citing decreasing reimbursement. More than five years ago, after Sutter acquired St. Luke’s, a decrepit hospital in a poor neighborhood, it tried to shut the facility and convert it to an outpatient clinic, which often generate scans and other expensive tests. (The City of San Francisco rejected the plan.) It did close the hospital’s acute psychiatric unit, a division that almost always loses money.

“You need a Ph.D. in health economics” to understand medical pricing, said Dr. Browner, who has acknowledged that California Pacific’s chargemaster prices might appear high. But he added, “We have to recoup what it costs to keep open, what it costs to take care of the un- and underinsured and to rebuild.”

He said that MediCal, California’s Medicaid program, pays California Pacific Medical Center only 10 to 20 percent of its actual costs for care. Medicare pays about 70 percent, he said, generally with a predetermined flat fee for each admission based on the patient’s diagnosis. In contrast, many private insurers still pay separately for services rendered, based on discounts from the chargemaster prices.

Dr. Browner also pointed to what health care executives call the “Saudi sheikh problem” at some hospitals.

“You don’t really want to change your charges if you have a Saudi sheikh come in with a suitcase full of cash who’s going to pay full charges,” he said.

But how much actual charity care does a hospital like California Pacific Medical Center perform? And are insurers and patients paying hospitals for better quality? Or also for amenities like valet parking, useless medical gadgetry and inflated salaries?

Though hospitals’ nonprofit status allows them to reap tens or hundreds of millions of dollars in tax benefits, California Pacific Medical Center’s main campuses spent 1.27 percent of their more than $1.1 billion in net patient revenues in 2011 on free care for indigent or uninsured patients, lower than the state average of 2.07 percent, according to statistics compiled by the San Francisco Department of Public Health. The far smaller St. Luke’s branch spent 5.32 percent that year.

Sutter, based in Sacramento, employs 28 officials who make more than $1 million a year, and four of them are among the top-paid hospital executives in the state. Sutter’s chief executive officer makes more than $5 million. In 2011, Dr. Browner, 62, a distinguished physician who spent much of his career in academics, made more than $1.2 million, according to tax documents.

California Pacific, Sutter’s main campus, is in upscale Pacific Heights. It has just broken ground on a $2.7 billion renovation, which includes a new flagship hospital. Though the project was initiated to meet new state earthquake standards, the facility is designed as a sleek glass and marble structure with all private rooms, underground parking and roof gardens with flowers and bees “to enhance the quality of the healing environment,” according to California Pacific Medical Center’s website. Its Facebook page has called it “the coolest hospital in San Francisco, possibly the country and even the world.”

Consumers may appreciate — or demand — features that contribute to bigger hospital bills. But studies have found no correlation between prices and patient outcomes. A California state rating of hospital services by the California Health Care Foundation gave California Pacific Medical Center average scores in most categories, though its surgical-care measures were rated “superior.”

Its crosstown neighbor, University of California San Francisco, a nationally ranked academic institution, charges far less per day than California Pacific, when the greater severity of illnesses of its patients is factored in, Professor Melnick said. In fact, a recent study in the publication Annals of Surgery, a monthly review of surgical science, found that hospitals with the highest complication rates tended to have higher prices.

From such variations, economists conclude that “costs” are highly discretionary, noting that hospitals in other developed countries often provide high-quality care, with better outcomes in comparatively no-frills environments. Said Dr. Robinson, the Berkeley health economist: “If you pay hospitals more, they spend it. If you pay them less, they adjust. The only way to pay less for health care — is to pay less for health care.”

Hospital officials like to say that their list prices do not reflect what most patients actually pay, because private and government insurers negotiate discounts. Simone Singh, a professor of health management and policy at the University of Michigan, estimated that insurers generally paid 40 to 50 percent of charges. But with powerful chains like Sutter, prices are high and the discounts often are not so generous. Patients are left paying more.

A Price ‘Sequoia’

For her three stitches at California Pacific Medical Center, Deepika Singh ended up paying $768.56 — a lot of money for a 26-year-old retail supply chain manager — of the $1,813 rate her insurer negotiated for the approximately $2,200 bill. Ms. Duffy owed $1,366 after her insurer’s discount on 2-year-old Orla’s $1,700 bill, since the family had not met its annual deductible. “How much is that per minute?” she asked.

Across California, Sutter hospitals have proved expert at the business of medicine. “Our members are very exercised about Sutter — it has increased prices disproportionately,” said David Lansky, chief executive officer of the Pacific Business Group on Health, which represents 60 of California’s biggest private employers in its health care negotiations. “Sutter has been successful at leveraging their huge size in dictating not just price but contract terms.”

Its major competitor is Kaiser, a health maintenance organization that runs a closed network of hospitals and doctors. California Pacific Medical Center delivers more than half the babies in San Francisco and is the city’s largest employer after Wells Fargo. Sutter contracts also include “gag clauses” that prevent employers from knowing what rates have been negotiated by their insurers on their behalf, Mr. Lansky said.

Chuck Idelson, a spokesman for the Institute for Health and Socio-Economic Policy, the research arm of the California Nurses Association, said Sutter prices were 40 to 70 percent above its rivals’ for similar services. When Sutter bought Summit Hospital in Oakland in 1999, rates there went up 29 percent to 72 percent, researchers found. Because of pricing issues, proposed insurance plans under the Affordable Care Act did not initially include Sutter hospitals.

Terry Miller, 62, a businessman in the Bay Area, got a bill for $117,000 for a two-night stay at California Pacific Medical Center to place a stent to open one of his heart’s clogged arteries — a charge that did not include fees for the cardiologist and radiologist. According to the Medicare database, California Pacific Medical Center charged $43,679 for hospitalization to treat a simple pneumonia and $96,642 to treat a stroke; the Medicare payments for those illnesses were $8,046 and $9,583.

The high prices have had a ripple effect across Northern California, allowing smaller hospitals to charge more as well. “Sutter is the tallest Sequoia and everyone goes up just underneath them a bit,” said Professor Melnick. He noted that hospital prices in California had more than doubled in the past decade, after adjustment for inflation.

And payouts in the Pacific region for simple emergency room treatments — stitches, a sprained ankle and an upper respiratory infection — were by far the highest in the country, about 50 percent higher than in the Northeast, according to an analysis performed for The Times. by the health care consulting firm Truven Health Analytics.

The Merger Factor

In theory, health care consolidation can lead to economies of scale, but not if it produces complex supersize systems. Excess administrative costs accounted for about $190 billion of the $2.5 trillion medical bill of the United States in 2009, the Institute of Medicine estimated this year — money that could be used for other purposes.

“There is a big flurry of consolidation and the effects depend on what the objective of the health care system is,” said Orry Jacobs of the health care consulting firm BDC Advisors. “If the intent is to improve care and bend cost curves, then networks can do so. If the objective is to corner the market and demand higher rates, then that will happen.” Indeed, research shows that today’s hospital mergers tend to drive up prices.

And employers have limited ability to fight back. Sutter operates the only hospital in some California cities. Beginning on Jan. 1, the University of California, Berkeley, will exclude Sutter’s two nearby hospitals from its plan because it could not reach a price agreement. The university’s employees will have to cross the bay or drive inland for in-network hospital treatment, or pay more.

As is often the case in American medicine, patients will decide if they are willing to pay the high price of care. Back home in New York City, Orla Duffy’s head wound has healed nicely without further treatment. Deepika Singh had her stitches taken out at an urgent care clinic, costing $25 with her copay, during a business trip to Washington.

Daniel Diaz, who had been treated at Lenox Hill, Mr. Roberts and Amy Bernstein had no choice but to visit an emergency room this year for stitches. But they all refused to see a doctor for the follow-up.

“The amount was outrageous for the time it took to put them in,” said Ms. Bernstein, 54, a real estate lawyer from Long Island, who cut herself cleaning knives while fixing a kitchen damaged by Hurricane Sandy. “I was so disgusted, I took them out myself.”



Source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/03/health/as-hospital-costs-soar-single-stitch-tops-500.html?ref=elisabethrosenthal&pagewanted=print

建立自我哲學 by 王維基

  李嘉誠先生在內地《南方都市報》的訪問中,最後一句:建立自我,追求無我。

 

  何謂「自我」?我對此的詮釋就是讀書、建構思維,對事情有自己獨立的看法,無論是社會議題,以至自己對生命的追求;就對與錯有原則,不被外力所動。

 

  記得中學二年級的時候,逛書店看到尼采的《上帝之死》。正就讀基督教中學的我,單看這個書名已教我非常震撼,也管不了尼采是誰就買下了這本書。前幾天發現,40年後的今天,這本書仍放在我的書架上。這本書令我接觸尼采,也接觸簡單的哲學,發現看哲學書籍遠比中學時讀的物理和化學來得更重要,也深深改變了我的成長和思想。在歐洲,宗教、倫理、哲學是中學的科目;但在香港,這些科目卻不受重視,反而注重實用性學科,這是大悲哀。

 

  作為一個生意人,當然要賺錢,建立自己的事業王國。但我相信,真正成功的生意人,除了營商技巧外,也必定有其個人的自我哲學。

 

轉載自晴報

 



Source: http://lifestyle.etnet.com.hk/column/index.php/internationalaffairs/rickywong/21539

七 天 天 氣 預 報@香 港 天 文 台 於 2013 年 12 月 03 日 05 時 45 分 發 出 之 天 氣 報 告 by HKO

七 天 天 氣 預 報

天 氣 概 況 :
冬 季 季 候 風 會 在 未 來 數 天 持 續 影 響 華 南 , 為 該 區 帶 
來 普 遍 晴 朗 及 乾 燥 的 天 氣 。 由 於 雲 量 持 續 偏 少 , 內 
陸 地 區 日 夜 的 溫 差 相 對 較 大 。 

十 二 月 三 日 ( 星 期 二 )
風   : 東 至 東 北 風 4 級 。 
天 氣 : 大 致 天 晴 , 早 上 清 涼 , 日 間 天 氣 乾 燥 。 
氣 溫 : 16 至 22 度 。
相 對 濕 度 : 百 分 之 55 至 80 。

十 二 月 四 日 ( 星 期 三 )
風   : 北 至 東 北 風 3 至 4 級 。 
天 氣 : 天 晴 乾 燥 , 早 上 清 涼 。 
氣 溫 : 16 至 22 度 。
相 對 濕 度 : 百 分 之 45 至 70 。

十 二 月 五 日 ( 星 期 四 )
風   : 東 至 東 北 風 3 至 4 級 。 
天 氣 : 天 晴 乾 燥 , 早 上 清 涼 。 
氣 溫 : 15 至 21 度 。
相 對 濕 度 : 百 分 之 50 至 70 。

十 二 月 六 日 ( 星 期 五 )
風   : 北 至 東 北 風 4 級 。 
天 氣 : 天 晴 乾 燥 , 早 上 清 涼 。 
氣 溫 : 15 至 20 度 。
相 對 濕 度 : 百 分 之 45 至 65 。

十 二 月 七 日 ( 星 期 六 )
風   : 東 北 風 4 級 。 
天 氣 : 天 晴 乾 燥 , 早 上 相 當 清 涼 。 
氣 溫 : 14 至 20 度 。
相 對 濕 度 : 百 分 之 45 至 65 。

十 二 月 八 日 ( 星 期 日 )
風   : 東 至 東 北 風 4 級 。 
天 氣 : 大 致 天 晴 及 乾 燥 。 早 上 清 涼 。 
氣 溫 : 15 至 20 度 。
相 對 濕 度 : 百 分 之 50 至 70 。

十 二 月 九 日 ( 星 期 一 )
風   : 北 至 東 北 風 3 至 4 級 。 
天 氣 : 大 致 天 晴 及 乾 燥 。 早 上 清 涼 。 
氣 溫 : 16 至 21 度 。
相 對 濕 度 : 百 分 之 45 至 65 。

12 月 2 日 下 午 二 時 北 角  錄 得 之 海 水 溫 度 為 18 度 。
12 月 2 日 上 午 七 時 天 文 台  錄 得 之 土 壤 溫 度 為 :
0.5 米 21.6 度 ;
1.0 米 24.3 度 。

七 天 天 氣 預 報 插 圖
第 一 天 插 圖 編 號 51 - 間 有 陽 光 
第 二 天 插 圖 編 號 50 - 陽 光 充 沛 
第 三 天 插 圖 編 號 50 - 陽 光 充 沛 
第 四 天 插 圖 編 號 50 - 陽 光 充 沛 
第 五 天 插 圖 編 號 50 - 陽 光 充 沛 
第 六 天 插 圖 編 號 51 - 間 有 陽 光 
第 七 天 插 圖 編 號 51 - 間 有 陽 光 

天氣報告@香 港 天 文 台 於 2013 年 12 月 03 日 7 時 02 分 發 出 之 天 氣 報 告 by HKO

上 午 7 時 天 文 台 錄 得:
氣 溫 : 18 度
相 對 濕 度 : 百 分 之 80 
天 氣 插 圖: 編 號 51 - 間 有 陽 光 

  
本 港 其 他 地 區 的 氣 溫 :

京 士 柏              17 度 ,
黃 竹 坑              18 度 ,
打 鼓 嶺              13 度 ,
流 浮 山              14 度 ,
大 埔                 18 度 ,
沙 田                 17 度 ,
屯 門                 15 度 ,
將 軍 澳              17 度 ,
西 貢                 17 度 ,
長 洲                 17 度 ,
赤 鱲 角              18 度 ,
青 衣                 18 度 ,
石 崗                 13 度 ,
荃 灣 可 觀           15 度 ,
荃 灣 城 門 谷        17 度 ,
香 港 公 園           18 度 ,
筲 箕 灣              17 度 ,
九 龍 城              17 度 ,
跑 馬 地              18 度 ,
黃 大 仙              17 度 ,
赤 柱                 18 度 ,
觀 塘                 17 度 ,
深 水 埗              17 度 。


頭條日報 頭條網 - Hit the nail on the head. by Michael Chugani

An unusual thing happened in the Legislative Council last week. The chairman of the Public Accounts Committee, Abraham Shek Lai-him, spoke in English when he released the committee's report on the extravagant (lavish, wasteful) spending by former ICAC commissioner Timothy Tong Hin-ming. I was pleasantly surprised because legislative councillors hardly ever (almost never) use English nowadays when they speak in the Legislative Council. The expression "pleasantly surprised" means surprised in a positive or happy way. Legislative Councillor Michael Tien Puk-sun should take a cue from Shek Lai-him.

        T he word cue has many meanings. The long stick that players use in billiards, snooker, or pool is called a cue. The signal that directors give actors or TV hosts to start talking is also called a cue. The expression "take a cue from" means to follow the example or behavior of another person. It is pronounced in the same way as "queue", which means to line up. Tien Puk-sun, a fluent English-speaker, likes to encourage the use of English in Hong Kong but never uses English himself in the Legislative Council. He told me his voters would not understand him if he used English. But it is impossible to encourage others to use English if you don't use it yourself. All legislative councillors should take a cue from Shek Lai-him and speak in English sometimes even if they are not fluent English-speakers.

        Many readers are still sending me e-mails about my recent columns on the declining standard of English in Hong Kong. They have different opinions on why Hong Kong people have lousy English but one reader hit the nail on the head. The expression "hit the nail on the head" means to give the right answer or the exact cause of a problem. The reader said the standard of English has dropped because most people only speak it in classrooms or at work but not at home or with friends. I think this explanation hit the nail on the head. As I have said many times before, use it or lose it. If you don't use English all the time, your standard will drop.

        ***

        上星期,立法會發生了一件很不尋常的事。政府帳目委員會的主席石禮謙,以英語匯報前廉政專員湯顯明開支奢華(extravagant)的報告。我喜出望外(pleasantly surprised),因為今天的議員在立法會發言時,已鮮有(hardly ever)用英語了。習語pleasantly surprised解作喜出望外。立法會議員田北辰好應學習(take a cue from)石禮謙的做法。

        Cue這個字有多重意思,玩美式或英式桌球時用的球桿就叫cue,導演給演員或電視主持可以開始說話的提示亦叫cue。習語take a cue from即是學習他人,這個字的發音跟排隊的queue是一樣的。說流利英語的田北辰,喜歡鼓勵香港人多說英語,但他自己卻從不在立法會說英語。他跟我說,要是他說英語,他的選民就聽不明白。但要是你自己不用英語,你又怎可能鼓勵別人用英語?所有立法會議員都該效法(take a cue from)石禮謙,即使自己的英語不算流利,也當不時說說英語。

        就着近日我在專欄中寫道,香港英語水平日漸下降,仍然有許多讀者傳電郵給我。他們對於香港人為何說糟透的英語,有許多不同的看法,但一位讀者正中要害(hit the nail on the head)。Hit the nail on the head即是給了正確答案,或說明了問題的癥結。那位讀者說,英語水平下降,是因為大部份人都只在課室或工作時才會說英語,但在家和跟朋友一起時就不會說了。我認為這個解釋一矢中的(hit the nail on the head)。正如我以往說過多遍,不用白不用(use it or lose it),要是你不常常說英語,你的水準自然就會下降。

        mickchug@gmail.com

        中譯:七刻

        Michael Chugani 褚簡寧

Source: http://news.stheadline.com/dailynews/headline_news_detail_columnist.asp?id=265119§ion_name=wtt&kw=126

布緯治乙肝 by 嚴浩

澳門讀者Ben Leong:「我已吃布緯食療治乙肝有13個月,已停了所有西藥及中藥,雖然仍未產生抗體,但進展良好,病毒數量在下降中,10月驗血病毒指數HBV-DNA為1950(理想值為20以下),但我8月時曾經最高試過指數84000,所以我馬上停吃中藥,只吃布緯,指數就不斷下降。


我有一個疑問,有些賣布緯食療產品的公司,說不能吃檸檬,是否真的呢?我每天7:30吃布緯,從今年10月起,9:00早餐後會放二片檸檬加入水杯,不斷加水飲到下午4點,約有4杯水共約800 ml左右,下午6:30再吃布緯,請問飲檸檬水對布緯有冇影響呢?」


檸檬對身體有莫大裨益,與布緯食療沒有絲毫衝突,怎麼會告訴客人不能吃檸檬?而且這位讀者服用的份量很少,在9點到四點之間可以用起碼6片檸檬,水也可以再多一點。


自從《半畝田》介紹布緯食療以來,到處的健康店都多了很多生意,但很多店都沒有加強僱員的培訓,對客人的詢問亂回答,以上就是一個例子。


讀者中有的服用了布緯食療會胃痛、反胃、有胃氣,其中一位讀者從布緯食療中減去了亞麻籽粉,胃痛便舒緩了。


如果脾胃弱,建議把所有食物煮好後放在攪拌機中,攪爛成糊糊(糊仔)才吃。有些人會覺得吃糊糊很為難,其實吃攪爛成糊糊的食物不但有利消化,還因為比起固體食物,糊糊在胃中的時間會較長,這樣不容易有飢餓感,腸胃也多了時間吸收營養,而營養對患者很關鍵。

Source: http://hkm.appledaily.com/detail.php?guid=18533705&category_guid=vice&sup_id=12187389&category=daily&issue=20131203

世無淨土,都是塵埃 by 李碧華

因泰國反對派連日示威佔領政府,關注一下,才知我有三位朋友已分別到了曼谷旅行充電。本來大家放個假遠離喧囂,很平常的事──但這回,有兩位早一日去,有一位是周六走。之前我着她小心,她還是飛:「只是政府總部辦公室一帶而已,我不怕。再沒有比689的咀臉更恐怖的了。」


抗爭一周仍未落幕,雖然示威人數由十幾萬減至幾萬,但紅衫軍殺入火併,槍彈已發,且有死傷。局勢突然惡化,周六死了大學生,周日早上仍有槍聲,無論如何不是遊客放鬆身心享受假期的好去處。


這三年來大家已決定不再到菲律賓,但中台飲食假劣毒,內地又有霧霾、疫症、劫匪……日本核輻射後遺症。泰國總算短程選擇之一,可惜不爭氣,經常有暴亂,把大家嚇怕。


有一位朋友留言提前回來。本因討厭今日香港之「陌生感」而逃離。人治失當到墮落程度,一男子狼班子令我們成長的地方烏煙瘴氣──不管多討厭,仍得面對一群庸劣的政治殭屍。「因為香港是『家』,還是要『回家』的。」他道。


世無淨土,都是塵埃,但求逃避,亦不容易。

Source: http://hkm.appledaily.com/detail.php?guid=18533700&category_guid=vice&sup_id=12187389&category=daily&issue=20131203

挽救下一代 by 陶傑

香港教育推行「三三四」,一試定生死,加上什麼「國民教育」、「通識」,中產家長爭相逃避,搞得英國的寄宿中學,香港學生氾濫。


中國人嘴巴上「愛國」,一旦涉及自己的子女利益,必然親英崇洋,用腳投票。


一個民族長期自己經營愛國的騙局,騙自己不要緊,卻佔用別的國家的資源。英國的寄宿中學教育制度,為英國的上流精英文化而設。打欖球、唱聖詩,本來絕不符合「中國國情」,但是中國家長把孩子送去,都乖乖的,不敢再喝令「帝國主義」尊重中國國情了。這套下三濫的虛偽,英國人看在眼裏,數鈔票,不作聲。


兩年前,我在一家牛津郡的寄宿學校參觀,看見一個中國來的小留學生,在膳堂排隊買咖啡。嘩,居然會排隊呀?我過去跟他攀談。


小留學生來自中國某省,由於接受過英國文明教化,富有紳士風度,講話彬彬有禮。他說他母親買了一幢房子,在學校的對面街,親自過來陪讀。


買房子的錢哪裏來,心中有數。我故意問:「你來了幾年,喜歡英國呢,還是喜歡你原來的祖國?」


「當然喜歡英國,」小孩說。


「英國有什麼好?學校膳食,沒有魚趐、穿山甲,吃土豆和青豆,」我說:「房子建築殘舊,沒有高樓大廈,一點也不現代化。」


中國小留學生聽了,有點激動,他放下咖啡,跟我說英國的人權、民主、自由,如何令他感到樂不思蜀,不想回大陸。


「你忘本了,」我眼見這個炎黃子孫,遭到英帝國主義的思想腐蝕,於心不忍,對他進行耐心教育:「你住在學校門外那條街的中國老媽,聽見了,會覺得擔心。她想你來英國,念好數理化、工商科,將來進牛津讀醫學、工程、電腦科技,不是叫你學英國的什麼人權。人權是給人享受的,你給英國人洗了腦,把這套毒素思想帶回中國,中國的下一代,你這種人越多,我越擔心。你老媽住哪?走出這個校門,我要找她串門,反映你的問題。」


小孩聽了,有點急起來,不知所措。我把他拉到一角,正色說:「我現在嚴正警告你,不許忘本,你是中國人,不要當漢奸,知道嗎?」


他目瞪口呆,我轉身走了。我覺得他在目送我的背影,怕我找他媽媽。

Source: http://hkm.appledaily.com/detail.php?guid=18533697&category_guid=vice&sup_id=12187389&category=daily&issue=20131203

亞視留意 | 晴報Sky Post by 劉天賜

亞視發出公告,說是唯一專注於免費電視事業的電視台,近年自製節目的百分比已增加一倍,聲稱收視與無綫電視呈四六開局,認為改革已見成效。未來將秉承「良心路綫」,與友台作差異化競爭,為香港民主進程發聲。本欄惟有相信這些宣稱是發自他們老闆內心,與受眾、廣告商、屬下員工的見解、觀察,相不相同,或者另有異見,就不敢妄自苟同了。
香港人太聰明了,政府、商人其他權威人士的話,不一定全盤受落,賣一段廣告,監管甚嚴,需要拿出真憑實據。產品宣稱是「最有效去污劑」,則需要有證據證明「最有效」,是有實質根據的。如果自說自話,廣府俚語乃是「老鼠跌落天秤」——自己稱自己。況且社會中的輿論,街頭巷尾的小市民心聲,群眾的眼睛雪亮度才是真實,今天大家更相信民心、民意、民情,「說一百次謊話成真理」之說,已站不住腳了!商人應該知,政府更應該知!

Source: http://www.skypost.hk/column/劉天賜/007010001002/%E4%BA%9E%E8%A6%96%E7%95%99%E6%84%8F/120161